Competition over resources

In the environmentally constrained but more populous world that can be expected over the course of this century, there will be greater scarcity of three key resources: food, water and energy. Demand for all three resources is already beyond that which can be sustained at current levels. Once population growth and the effects of climate change are factored in, it is clear that greater competition for such resources should be expected, both within and between countries, potentially leading in extreme cases to conflict.

Climate change and conflict: lessons from community conservancies in northern Kenya

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources

In November 2009, Saferworld, the Conservation Development Centre, and the International Institute for Sustainable Development launched a new report on climate change and conflict in Kenya. "The theoretical case for the connections between climate change and conflict has been well articulated, but we're still learning how this relationship manifests itself in practice," said Ivan Campbell, Senior Advisor on Conflict and Security at Saferworld. "This study tests that theory against realities on the ground in Kenya - and then makes practical and targeted recommendations in response to the actual policy context".

Read more »

Multiple Futures Project - Navigating Towards 2030

Issues:Competition over resources, Global militarisation, Marginalisation

In March 2008, the Supreme Allied Commander Transformation called for NATO to consider "that different views of future worlds will strengthen our endeavor to develop a more rigorous and holistic appreciation for future security challenges and implications for the Alliance."

The result, a Multiple Futures Project (MFP), acknowledges that in a rapidly changing global security environment, the landscape we know may be very different in 2030. It puts forward four plausible worlds upon which structured dialogue on  risks and vulnerabilities can occur: Dark Side of Exclusivity, Deceptive Stability, Clash of Modernites, and New Power Politics.

Read more »

Climate Change and the Military

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources

Tom Spencer, CCTM Project Coordinator The Climate Change and The Military (CCTM) Project, based on the co-operation of a group of leading think tanks, "will orchestrate a strong message from the security sector to the December 2009 climate change negotiations taking place at COP 15 in Copenhagen" according to Tom Spencer, the CCTM Project Coordinator (pictured left).

A recent report  for the CCTM "aims to describe the state of the current debate on climate change and security, and provide a framework for discussion in which the military can play a clear role in the debate on climate change mitigation and delivering sustainable human security, while starting to address the direct impacts of climate change on its core aims of national security, regional and global stability."

Read more »

The heart of India is under attack

Arundhati Roy | guardian.co.uk | October 2009

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources, Marginalisation

Odd, isn't it, that even after the Mumbai attacks of 26/11, the government was prepared to talk with Pakistan? It's prepared to talk to China. But when it comes to waging war against the poor, it's playing hard

This article was originally posted in the guardian.co.uk's comment is free section.

Picture: Dongria Kondh’s Sacred Mountain in Orissa (angryindian.blogspot.com)

Read more »

Climate Change: Impact on Agriculture and Costs of Adaptation

Various | International Food Policy Research Institute | September 2009

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources

This Food Policy Report presents research results that quantify climate-change impacts, assess the consequences for food security and estimate the investments that would offset the negative consequences for human well-being. Read more »

Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources

A report published on the 30th September by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) estimates that 25 million more children will be malnourished by 2050 due to the effects of climate change. The report predicts that climate change will lead to price increases for the most important agricultural crops: rice, wheat, maize and soybeans. Wheat prices are projected to increase globally by 170 - 191% whilst rice prices may increase by 113 - 121%.

Photo: Bluemoose Official License

Read more »