Climate change

Climate change is high on both domestic and international political agendas as countries face up to the huge environmental challenges the world now faces. Whilst this attention is welcome, less energy is being focused on the inevitable impact climate change will have on security issues. The well-documented physical effects of climate change will have knock-on socio-economic impacts, such as loss of infrastructure, resource scarcity and the mass displacement of peoples. These in turn could produce serious security consequences that will present new challenges to governments trying to maintain stability.

Articles EXCLUSIVELY written for sustainablesecurity.org

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources, Global militarisation, Marginalisation

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A tale of two cities: Durban and Brussels

Camilla Toulmin | International Institute for Environment and Development | December 2011

Issue:Climate change

The UN climate change negotiations in Durban began under a cloud of low expectations, which have been partly dispelled by the last-minute agreement to extend the legally-binding Kyoto Protocol on greenhouse gas emissions. And while Canada, a major emitter, has pulled out of the Protocol, a new environmental divide has emerged that contrasts with the traditional paradigm of developed versus developing countries: the new faultline pits the United States, Canada, China and India, who oppose legal limits for a variety of economic reasons, against the European Union, African, Latin American and island states who favour binding measures - often for reasons of national survival.

In an article by Camilla Toulmin, the Director of the International Institute for Environment and Development, the contrast is made between the dynamics that have driven both the climate talks in Durban and the debate on European financial regulation that ended with a British veto.

Article Source: International Institute for Environment and Development
Image Source: European Parliament

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Climate Change and Glacial Lake Outburst Floods

Kate Diamond | New Security Beat | November 2011

Issue:Climate change

The Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars has published an article highlighting the uncertainty attached to predicting the effects of climate change. Focusing on the phenomena of glacial lakes in Nepal and Peru, it begins to explore the extreme complexity that characterises the relationship between climate change and other drivers of instability, as well as what is required to manage the risk with the help of local communities.

Article Source: New Security Beat

Image Source: Oxfam International

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Risk of extreme weather events highlighted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Marlowe Hood | AFP | November 2011

Issue:Climate change

As reported by Agence France Presse, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has produced a draft summary of a report that warns of a predicted increase in the number and intensity of extreme weather events.  The 800-page report goes some way to addressing a subject largely untouched by their landmark 2007 report on climate change, and adds to the growing body of evidence outlining the potential security implications of a warmer planet.

Article Source: AFP

Image Source: Nasa

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Governments Must Plan for Migration in Response to Climate Change, Researchers Say

This story is reprinted from materials provided by University of Florida. The original article was written by Donna Hesterman | ScienceDaily | October 2011

Issue:Climate change

Governments around the world must be prepared for mass migrations caused by rising global temperatures or face the possibility of calamitous results, say University of Florida scientists on a research team reporting in the Oct. 28 edition of Science.

Image Source: Meredith James Johnstone

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Security is not simply the absence of conflict

John L Smith | UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office - Climate Change Team | September 2011

Issue:Climate change

Blog entry from the Foriegn and Commonwealth Office on climate change and security:

What the scientific modelling makes clear is that if global temerepature continues to rise unabated, it will place significant additional stress on ALL economies, but that the emerging economies on this continent will be among the first to take real strain.  Unchecked climate change will make the poorest even more vulnerable, with related food and water stress and climate migration.   It will raise tension levels over access to diminishing resources, particularly water.

Climate change is therefore a threat mutliplier, and governments must be alive to the potential it has to disrupt sustainable growth and stability and exacerbate tensions within and between countries.

Article source: FCO Climate change team blog

Image source: climatesafety

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