Competition over resources

In the environmentally constrained but more populous world that can be expected over the course of this century, there will be greater scarcity of three key resources: food, water and energy. Demand for all three resources is already beyond that which can be sustained at current levels. Once population growth and the effects of climate change are factored in, it is clear that greater competition for such resources should be expected, both within and between countries, potentially leading in extreme cases to conflict.

Himalayan Sub-regional Cooperation for Water Security

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources

Trans-boundary collaboration over the issue of shared water is critical since water is scarce in most areas. Today, the Himalayan region is facing severe water stresses. To overcome the challenge, there is a need to promote Himalayan Sub-Regional cooperation to ensure water security and a climate of peace and progress. Read more »

Iraq: the path of war

Paul Rogers | open Democracy | December 2009

Issues:Competition over resources, Global militarisation

Tagss:global security, globalisation, Iraq

Most analysts agree that the security situation across Iraq as a whole has improved in 2008-09. The lower incidence of violence owes something to the consolidated sectarian geography of Baghdad and its environs as a result of the ferocious conflict of the mid-2000s. In any event the decline is relative rather than absolute, for Iraq continues to be a perilous place for many of its citizens.

In conjunction with the opening of the official inquiry in Britain into the circumstances of the then prime minister Tony Blair’s decision to join the United States-led military campaign against Saddam Hussein’s regime in 2003, the persistent violence in Iraq reopens the question of the impulse of the war and whether other decisions with better outcomes could have been taken.

 

Originally published in openDemocracy.

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Climate change, conflict and fragility: understanding the linkages, shaping balanced responses

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources

ORG Exclusive

In this recent article, Janani Vivekananda, International Alert's Senior Climate Policy Advisor on climate change and security, turns her attention to the negotiations in  Copenhagen. She argues that any global agreement must address the links between climate, conflict, governance and development; yet issues three cautions in doing so.

Photograph: Opening Ceremony of UN Climate Change Conference, Miguel Villagran/Getty Images

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Climate change and conflict: lessons from community conservancies in northern Kenya

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources

In November 2009, Saferworld, the Conservation Development Centre, and the International Institute for Sustainable Development launched a new report on climate change and conflict in Kenya. "The theoretical case for the connections between climate change and conflict has been well articulated, but we're still learning how this relationship manifests itself in practice," said Ivan Campbell, Senior Advisor on Conflict and Security at Saferworld. "This study tests that theory against realities on the ground in Kenya - and then makes practical and targeted recommendations in response to the actual policy context".

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Multiple Futures Project - Navigating Towards 2030

Issues:Competition over resources, Global militarisation, Marginalisation

In March 2008, the Supreme Allied Commander Transformation called for NATO to consider "that different views of future worlds will strengthen our endeavor to develop a more rigorous and holistic appreciation for future security challenges and implications for the Alliance."

The result, a Multiple Futures Project (MFP), acknowledges that in a rapidly changing global security environment, the landscape we know may be very different in 2030. It puts forward four plausible worlds upon which structured dialogue on  risks and vulnerabilities can occur: Dark Side of Exclusivity, Deceptive Stability, Clash of Modernites, and New Power Politics.

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Climate Change and the Military

Issues:Climate change, Competition over resources

Tom Spencer, CCTM Project Coordinator The Climate Change and The Military (CCTM) Project, based on the co-operation of a group of leading think tanks, "will orchestrate a strong message from the security sector to the December 2009 climate change negotiations taking place at COP 15 in Copenhagen" according to Tom Spencer, the CCTM Project Coordinator (pictured left).

A recent report  for the CCTM "aims to describe the state of the current debate on climate change and security, and provide a framework for discussion in which the military can play a clear role in the debate on climate change mitigation and delivering sustainable human security, while starting to address the direct impacts of climate change on its core aims of national security, regional and global stability."

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